I hunt NY just like you do and you are not alone. Opening day was a Friday so I couldn't get out till day two. We were in the woods at daybreak and hunted till 11am plus we hunted three different properties. We did not hear or see a single bird all morning. That was not the worst. If you are familiar with the rolling hills of Madison County, you know you can see and hear for miles. We never heard one single shot all morning. I know we were not the only guys in the woods that day but for no one to shoot is pretty bad. I'm not sure if it was our bad winter or what but the turkeys are gone.